Morning Metals Call
Tuesday, April 16, 2024Good morning. The precious metals are lower in early U.S. trading. U.S. calendar features Housing Starts, & Industrial Production (+0.5% expected).
FedSpeak due from Jefferson, Williams, Barkin, & Powell.
Good morning. The precious metals are lower in early U.S. trading. U.S. calendar features Housing Starts, & Industrial Production (+0.5% expected).
FedSpeak due from Jefferson, Williams, Barkin, & Powell.
With gold and silver prices significantly higher overnight in the face of a very significant upward thrust in the US dollar, it is possible the markets are beginning to aggressively embrace flight to quality buying from rising economic concerns toward China.
In fact, overnight Chinese import, and export readings came in significantly below expectations which facilitates more anxiety toward an economy thought to have serious problems.
It is also likely that rising concerns of financial pressures on developing countries are fostering flight to quality buying of gold and silver in anticipation of a financial crisis in the emerging market sector...[MORE]
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With the dollar this morning forging another higher high and reaching the highest level since early November, the currency impact on gold, silver, and copper remains negative.
Likewise, US treasury yields remain a burden with yields reaching the highest levels since last November with another higher high overnight.
While it is not clear what the direct ramifications are on gold prices, a precipitous decline in Chinese Consumer Price Index readings for March overnight suggests the Chinese economy is doing very poorly which could be a double-edged sword...[MORE]
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While gold has not managed a new all-time high this morning, both gold and silver markets remain just under this week's highs.
We suspect the downgrade of China provides a measure of flight to quality buying. However, China is also the largest consumer of gold, and the last mainland China gold import tally showed a month-over-month reduction of almost 50% and therefore the downgrade could injure classic physical gold demand expectations.
In a sign of volatility potential in the current market, the Shanghai Futures Exchange implemented trading limits on gold and copper starting Friday...[MORE]
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The overnight action is a good example of how the gold and silver trade is tracking its own course, as interest rates, currency, bitcoin, and energy prices are not giving off notable influences and yet gold and silver prices have surged again with gold posting another new all-time high.
Therefore, it is unlikely gold is tracking a classic safe harbor issue with a broad global origin.
In a slightly negative signal, both gold and silver ETF holdings declined yesterday, with the gold extraction of 299,047 ounces the largest single-day exodus in three months...[MORE]
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