With a fresh lower low and the lowest trade since December 13th in February gold overnight the downtrend of the last two weeks looks to extend.
Certainly, the gold bulls were initially heartened by the failure to sustain dollar gains after a better-than-expected US jobs report but given the lack of definitively bullish internal fundamental storylines for gold, the bull camp "needs" a definitively weaker dollar!
Not surprisingly, investors remain cool toward gold with ETF holdings last week falling by 349,662 ounces leaving holdings down 0.4% early in the new year...[MORE]
Please subscribe to receive the full report via email by clicking here.
Jan 8 (Reuters) - Gold prices slid on Monday to trade near a three-week low touched in the last session, as the U.S. dollar and bond yields were buoyant on reduced hopes of an early rate cut by the Federal Reserve and as markets awaited for a key inflation print this week.
Spot gold slipped 0.9% at $2,027.87 per ounce as of 1033 GMT, hovering near its lowest level since Dec. 19 touched in the last session. U.S. gold futures GCcv1 fell 0.7% to $2,034.40...[LINK]
With a rising dollar and rising interest rates pressuring the markets again this morning and the prospect of US rate cut being pushed back with further strong US jobs data today the slide from the late December high is likely to extend in earnest today.
In other words, without a surprisingly weak jobs report reductions in the probability of a March rate cut should continue.
Keep in mind, US non-farm payroll counts are still "growing" (albeit monthly additions are shrinking) and impatient bond traders have started to question their perception of the potential for a March cut...[MORE]
Please subscribe to receive the full report via email by clicking here.
Jan 5 (Reuters) - Gold prices slipped on Friday and were on track for their first weekly fall in four, weighed down by a stronger dollar and higher bond yields, while investors keenly awaited U.S. non-farm payrolls data due later in the day.
Spot gold was down 0.2% to $2,038.49 per ounce as of 1223 GMT. U.S. gold futures fell 0.2% to $2,045.40...[LINK]
The weakening dollar gives the gold bulls the upper hand this morning.
Although the depth of this bull move is questionable as many bond traders have cut their March rate cut probabilities to 70%, from 85%, sending US rates higher.
With other nations potentially cutting interest rates more aggressively than the Fed, the dollar is at risk of staying stronger than expected, putting pressure on gold prices, even despite potential rate cuts. Gold bulls must take this shift in timing and probabilities seriously...[MORE]
Please subscribe to receive the full report via email by clicking here.
Jan 4 (Reuters) - Gold prices rebounded from a two-week low on Thursday, as a pullback in the dollar lifted demand among investors who are looking ahead to a U.S. jobs report that could shed more light on the Federal Reserve's next move on interest rates.
Spot gold was up 0.2% to $2,044.69 per ounce as of 1210 GMT, after hitting its lowest since Dec. 21 on Wednesday. U.S. gold futures rose 0.5% to $2,052.10 per ounce...[LINK]