While February gold did not post a lower low trade overnight, fundamental developments favor more declines and a trade below $2000.
In addition to hawkish ECB dialogue predicting no rate cuts until summer, expectations for a US cut have been pushed further into the future with US data continuing to signal an economy holding together which in turn has been accompanied by a consistent reduction in the probability of a first quarter US rate cut.
However, the bull camp should get some credit for prices tracking in positive territory this morning especially with the Chinese Premier discounting the prospects of a stimulus package from the government...[MORE]
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Fortunately for the bull camp in gold and silver the upside breakout extension in the dollar overnight has been offset by a minimal decline in US treasury yields.
However, the charts in the dollar project higher action ahead, and the US economic reports slate today is very active potentially rekindling rate cut timing debate.
In the end, the dollar is underpinned, and gold is pressured from Fed Gov. Waller's comments yesterday cautioning the Fed against rushing to cut rates before establishing inflation has been slayed...[MORE]
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In addition to gapping higher overnight, the dollar index reached the highest level since December 13th in a reaction that appears to carry follow-through potential.
Adding to the bearish track for gold and silver to start the new trading week, US treasury yields are climbing and gold ETF holdings at the end of last week had posted nine straight days of outflows, with holdings last week reduced by 656,635 ounces. Year-to-date gold ETF holdings are already down 1.2% while silver ETF holdings are down only 0.6% year-to-date.
From a longer-term perspective, the gold market could see lift from Chinese President Xi Jinping who announced China would push for high-quality development of its financial sector and would accelerate the creation of a modern financial system as that necessitates the need for a faster expansion of Chinese central bank gold reserves to backstop its currency in the eyes of the world trade...[MORE]
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Jan 16 (Reuters) - Gold prices declined on Tuesday, hurt by a strengthening dollar and Treasury yields, as markets wait to hear remarks from several Federal Reserve officials this week to further gauge the central bank's monetary policy path.
Spot gold was down 0.8% at $2,037.40 per ounce, as of 1212 GMT. U.S. gold futures fell 0.5% to $2,041.50...[LINK]