Blog posts tagged with 'copper'

We are surprised the gold market is tracking in positive ground this morning considering the sharp upside breakout extension in the dollar, slightly higher US treasury yields, and perhaps most importantly in the face of comments from the Fed's Waller indicating he needed at least two more months of favorable inflation data to be comfortable cutting rates.

However, Waller's comments do not preclude a June rate cut considering the two-month qualifying statement, with [Friday's] PCE readings for February.

This morning the CME Fed watch tool pegs the odds of a June 12th rate cut at only 55.4% compared to 64% yesterday...[MORE]

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Even though June gold has managed to build consolidation low support just under $2200, the dollar charts show residual bullishness which in turn offers overhead resistance for gold and silver.

Today's US economic report slate presents minimal news from weekly mortgage applications and a seven-year note auction at midsession.

With June gold flaring sharply higher and giving up those gains quickly yesterday, the market has given off another blowoff top signal on the charts. However, the gold market also forged a blowoff top last week and at times yesterday had recovered $42 of the $66 slide...[MORE]

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With a weaker US dollar and an initial higher high for the move in Bitcoin, outside market forces favor the bull camp in gold and silver.

Certainly, gold will continue to draft support from the long list of flight-to-quality issues, but signs of an overbought condition in the Indian gold market is concerning.

With growing concerns of exploding gold loans, the Reserve Bank of India has instructed the country's largest gold loan non-bank finance company to halt fresh gold loans, and there are reports that Indian buyers are experiencing price shock...[MORE]

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With Israel preparing for an attack on Rafah against the will of the international community, that is likely to give way to increased terrorist attacks on shipping in the Red Sea area and perhaps elsewhere in the world. In fact, a tanker was hit over the weekend, but the fire was contained.

It also appears that Russia and Ukraine are stepping up attacks on energy-related facilities and that could also yield sudden flight to quality lift for gold and bitcoin.

Unfortunately for the bull camp, the US dollar showed significant strength at the end of last week and appears to have entered an uptrend pattern and that is likely to provide consistent headwinds for precious metal prices...[MORE]

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After a strong start to Thursday post-FOMC, precious metals fell back from early highs with gold finishing with a moderate gain while silver had an outside-day lower close and a reversal from a 3 1/2-month high, and both metals have followed through to the downside early in today's action.

Going into the weekend and with one holiday-shortened week left in the first quarter, both metals are vulnerable to profit-taking and additional long liquidation today.

The FOMC meeting results maintained the Fed's projection of 75 basis points in rate cuts by the end of this year, and that has increased the chances for a June rate cut which in turn provided a boost to the precious metals...[MORE]

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Precious metals have broken out to the upside in a very positive reaction to the FOMC meeting results.

June gold has reached a new record high while May silver reached a 3 1/2-month high early in today's action, and both are holding onto those gains this morning.

Gold and silver have benefited from the sizable pullback in the dollar after it reached a 3-week high before the FOMC meeting results. While the dollar has found its footing, it remains well below Wednesday's high and is providing support to metals markets...[MORE]

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While gold prices have regained the upper hand on silver, both are holding in relatively tight price ranges this morning.

After this afternoon's Fed meeting results and Fed Chair Powell's press conference, gold and silver are likely to break out of those tight ranges.

The dollar has rallied to a 3-week high in a "buy the fact" reaction to the first Bank of Japan rate hike in 17 years, and that continues to pressure gold and silver prices...[MORE]

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While gold and silver saw divergent trading action at the start of this week, they are both on the defensive early on.

There was a role reversal Monday with gold regaining the upper hand on silver as both remain close to 2024 price highs.

The dollar has extended its mid-March recovery to a 3-week high in the wake of the Bank of Japan's first rate hike since 2007 as the Yen had a "sell the fact" reaction falling to a new low for the move and that in turn put early pressure on precious metals prices...[MORE]

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Even though April gold posted a solid gain in Wednesday's trade, further confirmation of residual/sticky US inflation today could unleash an additional and perhaps more aggressive long liquidation washout.

Fortunately for the bull camp, the US dollar has not rallied on stubborn signs of sticky US inflation and declining US rate cut hopes, but that could change if Tuesday's inflation concern is reconfirmed by today's inflation news.

It should also be noted that Bitcoin posted new all-time highs again and, most gold mining shares showed significant gains yesterday with Newmont and Barrick up 1.7%, Harmony gold up 3.6% and Sibanye Stillwater up 6.7%...[MORE]

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While the dollar has not shown fresh direction following its aggressive recovery bounce yesterday, the upward bias from the charts and a measure of newfound respect for lingering inflation reduces the prospect of US easing in June.

However, gold and silver should be cushioned by continued chatter about a European rate cut in June.

In today's action, the markets could simply "mark time" as the other shoe to drop (Thursday's PPI) could easily rekindle another upward pulse in the dollar and downward pulse action in gold and silver...[MORE]

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