Blog posts tagged with 'copper'

There has been notable divergence in precious metals with gold holding within its 2024 consolidation zone while silver is still within striking distance of a new 4-month low.

The gold/silver ratio was just above 92 at yesterday's close and approaching the 17-month high reached in mid-January.

The dollar remains well below Monday's 2 1/2-month high which has underpinned metals prices early today.

Fed speakers gave mixed comments on upcoming Fed policy yesterday, and the market's disappointment that there was not an overall dovish tone has weighed on gold and silver prices...[MORE]

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After a rough start to February, the tide may have turned for gold prices as they remain well clear of Monday's low.

Silver prices have reached a 2-week low while platinum and palladium are also under moderate early pressure.

The Dollar has extended its pullback after a surprise downtick from a private survey of US economic optimism, which carried more weight with the market than usual on Tuesday as there were no top-tier US economic numbers to digest...[MORE]

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The sharp rally in the dollar has clearly undermined support for the precious metals, along with the break in Treasury prices.

Fed Chair Powell's comments on 60 Minutes put to rest any ideas that the Fed would consider cutting rates in March, and this sparked a breakout rally in the dollar to its highest level since November 14.

Comments from other Fed officials reinforced this stance, with Fed Governor Michele Bowman saying it is too soon to consider lowering interest rates and Chicago Fed President Austin Goolsby saying he wants to see more inflation progress...[MORE]

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Not surprisingly, the gold market started off under noted pressure today with a six-day low largely because of the upside breakout in the dollar to the highest level since mid-November and from a slight increase in US treasury yields following a hawkish overnight speech from the US Fed chairman.

With the gold market adding to the January recovery rally last week before failing and reversing the market was giving off technical signs of an intermediate top last week.

Unfortunately for the bull camp, outside market impacts of the dollar and treasuries shifted patently bearishly after the much stronger-than-expected US nonfarm payroll reading...[MORE]

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Clearly, the gold and silver markets are not benefiting from flight to quality interest early today as the fear of financial contagion in China continues to rise with Chinese equities plunging sharply this week. This is beginning to create "margin calls" which can prompt a chain reaction of problems for banks, investors, and eventually the government.

Sentiment toward gold early today is disappointing to the bull camp as a downside breakout in the dollar has not produced a wave of fresh buying yet.

In fact, it should be noted that the March dollar index fell below its 200-day moving average and posted a seven-day low in the early trade...[MORE]

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With the dollar posting a technical breakout on the upside this morning, gold and silver bulls are fortunate treasury yields have remained low overnight.

Global economic news overnight was mixed to slightly softer, which might be considered a negative to gold but more so to silver given its industrial focus.

However, the overriding weight on the back of gold prices this morning is clear sentiment from the US Fed chairman that a rate cut in their next meeting in March is not their base case...[MORE]

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While the charts in gold tilt in favor of the bull camp, the upward bias is likely a simple drift toward the top of the last month and a half consolidation pattern.

Outside market influences early today are offsetting with supportive treasuries countered by minimal strength in the dollar.

The gold market is likely experiencing some headwinds following the release of the World Gold Council's latest report. In fact, global gold demand fell by 5% last year even without including the negative demand registered by outflows from ETF and OTC gold-based instruments...[MORE]

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With April gold breaking out to the highest level since January 19th, US interest rates continuing to decline, and a tight range bound dollar that leaves the bull camp with the edge.

Furthermore, the market should find fresh support from news that Indian 2023 gold imports in their latest fiscal year increased by 26.7%.

However, comparative Indian gold imports from the prior year were also sharply higher potentially suggesting an improved Indian gold import pattern...[MORE]

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With a three-day high and a developing pattern of higher highs and higher lows, the technical picture for gold has improved.

However, with a stronger Dollar to start, the positive start in gold and silver might indicate the metals are embracing flight to quality uncertainty from China which saw a major property company forced by a Hong Kong Court to liquidate its assets.

The markets continue to see chatter regarding rate cuts from the ECB and stories suggesting the Fed is already acting which signal a pivot...[MORE]

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